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Track your return against inflation, not just percentages

Track your return against inflation, not just percentages

05/24/2025
Marcos Vinicius
Track your return against inflation, not just percentages

Many investors focus on headline figures—an advertised 8% gain here, a 12% annual return there. But without adjusting for inflation, these percentages can be misleading. Imagine celebrating profits that, in reality, leave your purchasing power unchanged or even diminished.

This article guides you through why it’s critical to nominal return vs real return and how to calculate what truly matters: the growth of your wealth after prices rise.

Understanding Nominal Returns vs Real Returns

Nominal return represents the percentage gain on an investment over a period. It’s the raw number you see on statements, before considering external factors. In contrast, the real return or inflation-adjusted return accounts for the impact of inflation on your capital.

Inflation reduces the value of each dollar you hold. If you earn 10% on an investment but inflation is 5%, your actual improvement in purchasing power is far less than the nominal figure suggests.

Why Inflation Erodes Your Wealth

Inflation isn’t just a background economic statistic—it directly affects your savings, investments, and future goals. Think of inflation as an invisible tax on every dollar you own.

Consider Jane, who saved diligently and achieved an 8% return on her portfolio last year. When inflation hovered at 6%, her erosion of purchasing power meant that, in real terms, she only grew her wealth by about 1.9%.

Ignoring this adjustment can lead to overconfidence, misallocation of resources, and the sobering realization, years later, that your money doesn’t buy as much as you thought.

Calculating Inflation-Adjusted Returns: A Step-by-Step Guide

To find your true gain, use the geometric formula:

Real Return = (1 + Nominal Return) ÷ (1 + Inflation Rate) – 1

This approach is more precise than simply subtracting rates, especially over multiple periods, because it captures reinvestment and compounding.

Example 1: You invest $75,000, receive dividends of $2,500, and sell your position for $90,000. Your nominal return is 23.3%. If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 700 to 721, inflation was 3%.

Applying the formula: (1.233 ÷ 1.03) – 1 = 19.7%. A simple subtraction would overstate your performance at 20.3%.

Example 2: A $1,000 investment grows to $1,100 in one year (nominal return = 10%). With 3% inflation, the real return is (1.10 ÷ 1.03) – 1 ≈ 6.8%.

The Power of Real Returns in Financial Planning

Tracking inflation-adjusted returns transforms how you set goals and measure progress. A portfolio that looks healthy on paper may be underperforming once rising costs are considered.

By focusing on compound geometric inflation adjustment and evaluating your results, you ensure you’re chasing gains that outpace price rises, not just nominal percentages.

This discipline empowers you to:

  • Preserve and enhance purchasing power through time
  • Align retirement savings targets with real-world costs
  • Compare investments on an equal footing, regardless of inflationary cycles

Strategies to Protect Your Purchasing Power

Inflation protection isn’t a one-size-fits-all solution. Different asset classes respond uniquely when prices surge.

  • Equities (Stocks): Historically, shares have delivered positive real returns over long horizons, acting as a bulwark against mild inflation.
  • Commodities and Real Assets: Gold, oil, and real estate often appreciate when currency value falls, offering a tangible hedge.
  • TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities): Government bonds that automatically adjust principal based on CPI movements.

Practical Tools and Habits for Tracking Real Returns

Adopting the right practices makes it easy to stay on top of your true performance.

  • Use online inflation calculators from reputable sources to convert nominal returns into real terms.
  • Leverage spreadsheets with built-in functions to apply the formula consistently across investments.
  • Consult your financial advisor to ensure they report geometrically accurate real return figures, not just nominal gains.

Regularly review your portfolio against the inflation-adjusted benchmark to identify underperformers and rebalance as needed. This habit fosters true measure of financial progress and keeps you aligned with long-term ambitions.

Your salary and wages deserve the same scrutiny. Negotiate raises that exceed inflation to secure protecting your future purchasing power and avoid an unseen pay cut every year.

By reframing success through the lens of real returns, you reclaim control over your financial destiny. No longer dazzled by nominal rates, you build sustainable wealth that stands the test of rising prices.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius