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Private equity firms reposition portfolios in anticipation of downturn

Private equity firms reposition portfolios in anticipation of downturn

07/20/2025
Maryella Faratro
Private equity firms reposition portfolios in anticipation of downturn

As the global economy teeters on the edge of a potential slowdown, private equity (PE) firms are taking decisive action to safeguard their investments and prepare for turbulent times. In 2025, challenges such as rising borrowing costs, stretched valuations, and geopolitical uncertainties have compelled fund managers to rethink their strategies and rewire portfolios for resilience.

This article explores how leading PE players are adapting through focused value creation, tactical divestitures, alternative liquidity solutions, and enhanced operational oversight. By understanding these dynamics, investors and stakeholders can glean insights into the evolving role of private capital in uncertain markets.

Macroeconomic Headwinds and Market Uncertainty

The current environment in 2025 is defined by persistent high interest rates and elevated costs across labor, materials, and capital. Inflationary pressures and policy shifts have created a backdrop of volatility where traditional exit routes such as IPOs or strategic sales are less predictable and often delayed.

Despite a rebound in deal value—up 14% after two years of contraction—overall fundraising momentum remains uneven, and exit activity is restrained. These forces have generated profound macroeconomic threats that challenge conventional timing for PE exits and new acquisitions, forcing managers to innovate in pursuit of stability and growth.

Repositioning for Resilience: Core Competencies and Operational Excellence

To navigate the storm, many private equity firms are tightening their focus on assets where they have the deepest expertise. This means rationalizing portfolios by shedding non-core operations, reinvesting in scalable verticals, and enhancing managerial oversight at every level.

Leading sponsors are proving that focused cross-selling and pricing optimization strategies can unlock significant value. By deploying specialized teams and advanced analytics, funds are reviving underperformers—often lifting margins by 500–800 basis points through targeted commercial and operational improvements.

  • Shut down or divest non-strategic divisions to streamline operations.
  • Invest in digital platforms, automation, and data analytics for faster insights.
  • Enhance customer segmentation to drive tailored marketing and sales.
  • Implement dynamic pricing models that reflect market demand.

Liquidity Strategies: Carve-Outs, Continuations, and Hybrid Capital

In light of constrained exit markets, PE firms are increasingly turning to alternative monetization vehicles like continuation vehicles and secondary sales to satisfy limited partner liquidity preferences. These mechanisms allow managers to hold onto promising assets while providing cash to investors.

Carve-outs—divestitures of non-core business units—have surged to 11.8% of U.S. buyouts in Q4 2024, the highest quarterly share since 2016. By isolating high-potential sub-units, firms are effectively unlocking hidden value and positioning themselves for more robust exits when market conditions improve.

  • Continuation vehicles enable rollovers of mature assets into new funds.
  • Secondary market transactions provide interim liquidity for LPs.
  • Hybrid capital structures balance debt and equity to optimize returns.

The Growing Divide: Mega-Funds and Distribution Diversification

While mid-sized and boutique firms often struggle for deal flow, mega-funds continue to thrive, capturing 42% of global buyout commitments in Q1 2025. Their scale allows for greater negotiating power, diversified deal sourcing, and access to permanent capital pools.

These titans are also broadening distribution channels by partnering with insurance companies, wealth managers, and pension funds, thereby creating stable income streams outside of traditional carry-based models. hands-on operational involvement and performance monitoring have become critical elements of their playbook.

Embracing Value Creation for Long-Term Success

With high entry multiples and narrow margins, PE firms are extending hold periods and placing operational improvement at the center of their value creation strategies. Rather than relying solely on multiple expansion, sponsors are investing in management teams, process upgrades, and digital transformation initiatives.

The shift from financial engineering toward operational value is not just tactical but philosophical. General partners (GPs) with strong track records in driving turnaround performance are commanding premium access to capital, as limited partners increasingly seek partners with demonstrable ability to create sustainable growth.

Investor Expectations and Future Outlook

As limited partners reevaluate allocations in this protracted cycle, there is growing demand for transparent reporting, environmental and social governance integration, and clear pathways to liquidity. In surveys, LPs emphasize the need for predictable distributions, robust risk management, and alignment of interests between GPs and investors.

Looking ahead, firms that embrace prolonged holding periods and transformative operational improvements will be best positioned to meet these evolving priorities. The integration of artificial intelligence, sustainability-linked incentives, and agile governance structures is set to define the next generation of top-performing private equity vehicles.

As private equity continues to evolve, stakeholders should watch for deeper integration of technological tools, heightened scrutiny on environmental and social governance practices, and further expansion of direct lending. The firms that adapt best will blend financial discipline with entrepreneurial vigor, ultimately delivering durable returns in any market cycle.

Maryella Faratro

About the Author: Maryella Faratro

Maryella Faratro