Logo
Home
>
Investments
>
Don’t overlook the value of cash in a volatile market

Don’t overlook the value of cash in a volatile market

07/28/2025
Marcos Vinicius
Don’t overlook the value of cash in a volatile market

In April 2025, U.S. markets experienced a sharp, temporary spike in volatility. This episode echoes past periods of turmoil, from the Great Depression to the 2008 crisis. While headlines focus on flashy rallies and steep selloffs, an often-overlooked asset quietly regains its spotlight: cash. Despite its modest returns, cash can anchor portfolios when uncertainty reigns, offering preserve capital through market storms and optionality to act decisively.

Understanding Market Volatility in 2025

The early months of 2025 brought unexpected market gyrations. Geopolitical tensions, central bank rate decisions, and shifting economic data collided, driving the VIX index to levels unseen in years. For many investors, memories of past crises resurfaced, reminding them that leverage and aggressive exposures can quickly turn perilous.

Historical analyses reveal that during the Great Depression, the stagflation of the 1970s, the Dot-Com bubble burst, and the 2008 global financial crisis, those who clung to cash or low-risk assets fared far better than those mired in high-beta positions. As famed investor Shelby Cullom Davis once noted, “You make most of your money in bear markets, you just don’t realize it at the time.” Such resilience underscores why liquidity deserves its place in any strategy.

Cash as Shield and Sword

Cash is often dismissed as a “dead” asset. Yet, its true power lies in dual roles: a shield against sudden losses and a sword to capture undervalued opportunities. In moments of distress, buffer market downturns and volatility by avoiding forced sales of equities or bonds at discounted prices.

At the same time, holding cash confers seize opportunities when markets correct. When prices dip, prepared investors can deploy reserves to acquire high-quality assets at bargain levels, laying the foundation for outsized future gains. This capacity to act swiftly separates prudent portfolio managers from reactive, emotionally driven ones.

Current Cash Yields and Money Market Trends

One of the most compelling reasons to hold cash in 2025 is the attractive short-term yield environment. Vanguard’s Cash Plus bank sweep program, for instance, offers an APY of 3.65% as of April 21, 2025. Meanwhile, money market fund balances have climbed from $5.87 trillion at the end of 2023 to $6.75 trillion by December 2024, a 15% increase in a single year and an 87% surge over five years.

These figures reflect a broader shift toward conservatism among investors, emphasizing liquidity over leveraged speculation. In other words, cash is not merely idle—it is earning a competitive return relative to many fixed-income alternatives.

Historical Lessons in Crisis Management

History repeatedly teaches that excessive leverage often ends in regret. During the 2008 crisis, investors who maintained elevated cash positions weathered the storm more easily and re-entered markets at lower valuations. Warren Buffett has long paraphrased that “cash is not just a poor investment in good times but a valuable option in bad times.”

  • Great Depression: Cash separated survivors from reckless speculators.
  • 1970s Stagflation: Liquidity preserved purchasing power amid soaring prices.
  • Dot-Com Bubble: Cash enabled strategic acquisitions of beaten-down tech stocks.
  • 2008 Financial Crisis: Prepared investors seized financial institutions at fire-sale prices.

These episodes demonstrate that while markets punish overextended positions, they reward those who patiently hold reserves.

When to Adjust Your Cash Allocation

Allocating to cash is not a one-size-fits-all decision. Investors should consider personal circumstances alongside market conditions. Nearing retirement? Higher cash balances can provide strategic deployment of cash reserves to meet upcoming liabilities without disrupting core holdings.

Young or growth-oriented investors may tolerate lower cash levels, yet they, too, benefit during acute policy uncertainty or economic slowdowns. Below are scenarios when upping your cash allocation can be prudent:

  • Impending market catalyst: elections, central bank meetings, or geopolitical events.
  • Portfolio rebalancing: periodically trimming winners to rebalance risk.
  • Funding short-term goals: tuition payments, home purchases, or emergency reserves.

Risks of Overholding Cash

Cashing out too aggressively comes at a cost. Data from J.P. Morgan Asset Management highlights that a classic 60/40 equity-bond portfolio outperformed cash in 75% of one-year periods and never underperformed over three years, delivering average excess returns of 9 percentage points annually and over 20 points across three years. This potential for longer-term underperformance can erode long-term goals if cash dominates.

Additionally, inflation can gradually eat away at purchasing power. When price levels accelerate, cash yields may fail to keep pace, resulting in a negative real return. Moreover, investors who exit markets at the bottom risk avoid emotional decisions in downturns but may miss swift rebounds, as dramatic recoveries are easy to overlook when sidelined.

Practical Tips for Wise Cash Allocation

Striking the right balance between cash and risk assets entails discipline, planning, and a clear framework. Consider the following best practices to maintain an optimal cash cushion:

  • Define target cash ranges: set minimum and maximum allocation bands based on risk tolerance and time horizon.
  • Automate rebalancing: use systematic rules to buy or sell cash based on deviations from targets.
  • Layer cash tranches: ladder short-duration instruments to smooth reinvestment risk and capture prevailing yields.

By blending mechanical approaches with thoughtful oversight, investors avoid the pitfalls of panic-driven reallocations and preservation of precious capital.

Final Takeaways

In a world where uncertainty can erupt without warning, cash remains a potent asset. It safeguards portfolios, offers optionality, and provides the ability to capture competitive short-term yields while protecting against forced sales. Investors who thoughtfully calibrate their cash allocations—neither shunning liquidity nor hoarding it excessively—position themselves to navigate volatile markets with confidence. Ultimately, the strategic use of cash reflects a commitment to long-term objectives, risk management, and the wisdom to act decisively when opportunity knocks.

Marcos Vinicius

About the Author: Marcos Vinicius

Marcos Vinicius